Boise_Idaho [null/void, any]

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Cake day: January 8th, 2024

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  • People are making a big deal out of a nothingburger. This is just going to be the first out of many many proposed ceasefires that are not worth the paper it’s printed on for the very simple reason that neither party will agree to even sit down with the other side, let alone come to the consensus on anything and the third parties lack the means to make them sit down through force. It’s like the millions of proposed ceasefires and talks and negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. All of them amounted to nothing.

    Negotiations will not happen until one side sues for peace or both sides realize that they are better off ceasing hostilities. A third party crafting the perfect ceasefire means nothing unless that third party has the means to force the two to sit down, whether it’s through their own military waging war on the two or turning economic screws that destroys the economies of both parties. China’s military is not strong enough to take on both the US and Iran and it won’t make moves to destroy both economies for the sake of a ceasefire. Therefore, the ceasefire won’t be seriously entertained by the two parties and is meaningless regardless of its particular merits and deficiencies.