churresmo [she/her, they/them]

something something read Settlers something

Edit: legit, read Settlers, it is refreshing.

I’m mostly using as source this interview of Ricardo Capelli, president of the Brasilian Agency of Industrial Development (ABDI) to Agência Brasil. Has some interesting numbers there.

And here are some stats from the Brazilian Confederation of Industry

Edit: Isn’t a big ass industrialisation, but we aren’t becoming a big ass farm, like Jones Manoel and PSOListas are saying.

Also, i saw those protests. It’s a “March for Liberty”, led by the far-right main name among the youth, Nikolas Ferreira.

I can only talk about the Brazilian POV:

Brazilian agribusiness will be the biggest beneficiary. They are the main supporters of the Brazilian far-right since “redemocratization” in 1985. Since Brazilian agribusiness is very indebted, i guess they will receive more credit, so they can expand their farms in the North, Center-West and Northeast of Brazil, expanding their profits. The expansion of agribusiness in those regions means more deforestation and invasion of Indigenous and peasant land.

The Indigenous movement is not buying the PT government narrative and their abandonment of the Indigenous cause. Thus, in Pará state (in the North), there were some protests last year. Their movement is by far, more progressive than the government. The peasant movement is a bit different, since their main organization, MST, is firmly on the government’s side, although even they (sometimes) recognize the government’s inaction towards land reform. Smaller peasant organizations, who are critical of the government, like FNL and LCP, are getting criminalized by regional authorities, with members being arrested as “land invaders” or even “gang members”. Indigenous, maroons and peasants will be the biggest losers of this deal, since their existence is endangered.

Brazilian industrial capitalists didn’t oppose the deal. There were some initial criticism about it, but they will gain more than lose, with the deal, since Mercosul industrial exports will gain tariff exemption in the EU. This is where most “Marxist” analysis get it wrong. They assume that the trade deal will only benefit the agribusiness, and de-industrialize Brazil further (even tho, de-industrialization is being reversed in this PT administration), but they forget that the industrialists aren’t opposing the deal. There’s a Folha de São Paulo article talking more about it, but it is paywalled. But TLDR: Industrial capitalists will gain a new market for their products.

The mostly-white petite-bourgeoisie, mostly located in the Southeast/South will benefit somewhat from the deal, with access to cheaper higher-end products from Europe.

The reality is almost certainly going to be something much more stupid and liberal rather than something hopeful and anti imperialist but I can dream

Has been like this for almost 50 years.

International-bourgeoisie? Russian national-bourgeoisie controlling the Russian state? Are you reading Lenin or Pepe Escobar?

Imperialism is capitalism in that stage of development in which the dominance of monopolies and finance capital has established itself; in which the export of capital has acquired pronounced importance; in which the division of the world among the international trusts has begun; in which the division of all territories of the globe among the biggest capitalist powers has been completed.

V. I. Lenin, The Proletarian Revolution and the Renegade Kautsky>

If you zoom out and picture the empire as one polity and this is the literal balkanisation of the western empire. They may be oppressor nations but encouraging that is progressive no matter whether or not the country remains shitty and capitalist afterwards.

I’m not understanding your point of view. There’s American imperialism, British imperialism, European (mostly Franco-German, with a bunch of junior partners) imperialism, Russian imperialism and so on. All are independent of each other. Imperialists sometimes team up with other imperialists, when they have common goals, and sometimes, they fight each other, when the objectives aren’t common.

Oppressor nations can’t do progressive nationalism. And i doubt most nationalisms in the modern-day are progressive.

EU, Mercosur bloc sign free trade deal after 25 years of negotiations - Al-Jazeera

The ultra-reactionary agricultural bourgeoisie of South America will really appreciate this lifeline offered by the EU (and Lula). They will probably use this money to better equip their death squads.

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CPI-M’s likely fall in the elections later this year will largely be linked to economic issues, which are particularly hard to fix given the constraints they are under.

If they can’t fix these issues, what is the point of disputing elections and getting elected, especially using Marxist symbology and terminology? And I’m not advocating for these other communist parties either.

Being pro-Palestine doesn’t absolves anyone of being chauvinistic. Just ask a Moroccan what they think of Palestine, and what think of Western Sahara, for example. I normally don’t take Jacobin seriously, but they showed actual issues with CPI-M’s attitude towards Muslims, and it has terrible electoral consequences. Fascism growing in Kerala, as BJP elected their first state representative to Parliament in 2024. At the same time, the CPI(“Marxist”)'s results amongst the Muslim population in Kerala aren’t good, even with they opposing the CAA.

In the same election that elected a actual Hindu fascist to power, one would expect that Muslims would prefer to vote for the Left, which one would expect to be able to stand up against Hindutva chauvinism. But they mostly voted for the INC-allied Muslim League. Also, one of the websites the Jacobin linked implies that CPI(“M”)/LDF and BJP/RSS have some sort of link, both in their hate of Muslims, and in their love of Adani.

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and the Islamophobia is present in the chauvinist "communist’ parties as well, like CPI(“Marxist”), for example.

In recent years, Kerala, a southern Indian state long governed by the Left, has reportedly seen cases of gold smuggling and transactions of illegal, unregulated money. Commenting on the issue in a recent interview, the Communist Party of India (Marxist), or CPI(M), chief minister of the state described the Muslim-majority district of Malappuram as a hot spot for these crimes. He claimed that these offenses are most prevalent in this district — and that illegal money is brought into Kerala for “anti-national” activities.

The label “anti-national,” which is often applied, if not limited to, Indian Muslims, is not the chief minister’s own coinage but rather a term borrowed from the lexicon of Hindu nationalist forces. Strategically deployed by Hindutva organizations to ostracize and demonize Muslims in India, the term takes on a more powerful meaning by labeling them as “traitors” to the motherland.

Facing backlash, the chief minister disowned the statement. Yet, party leaders’ borrowing of anti-Muslim rhetoric from the Hindu nationalist echo chamber is not something new. In 2010, another CPI(M) stalwart, V. S. Achuthanandan, accused a Muslim political group of using marriage as a tool to “Islamize” Kerala. This claim resembled the “love jihad” narrative, one of many Islamophobic campaigns propagated by Hindutva forces to demonize Indian Muslims. This conspiracy theory tells us that Muslim men lure Hindu women into marriage to convert them and change the religious demographic.

These positions taken by the CPI(M) are viewed by many civil-society activists as isolated incidents and by some political analysts as deliberate compromises yielding to electoral pressures. However, the CPI(M)’s handling of the “Muslim issue” is more than that — it is a symptom of a larger crisis within the party.

anti-imperialist small global south countries?

Japan and the Philippines sign defensive pact and economic cooperation in Mindanao

Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs - Japan

Japanese militarists want to flex muscles against China, while the Filipino government of Marcos Jr is in dire need of support, as his approval ratings are dipping.

They are irrelevant because of their incorrect political line, which lead them to failure in 1953 and 1979. Still, that doesn’t excuses the IRI to arrest their members in the 80’s.

so, Mao died and his line got purged. The terrible decisions grow tenfold after that purge.

i mean, the communists have small numbers and are being surpressed, but that wasn’t a reason to them to capitulate to Erdogan, as PKK did.

edit: rephrased it, the english was too broken

don’t want to be that person, but i believe LatAm is going down the fascistic path, and that is a trend that can be observed in most countries (except Uruguay, for some reason, the far-right is weak there).