This is what’s keeping me up at night, and also exactly why I think all the predictions of four or five hundred seats for Labour are overblown.
This is what’s keeping me up at night, and also exactly why I think all the predictions of four or five hundred seats for Labour are overblown.
But they’re not wrong either, there’s plenty of precedent for the conservatives getting a higher vote share than polls have predicted. We sometimes call it “the shy Tory” effect and revolt there’s likely lots of reasons behind it, the fact remains that polls are not a guarantee of anything.