m_f@midwest.socialM to Minneapolis - St. Paul Metro@midwest.socialEnglish · 8 days agoThe polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who’s right?www.startribune.comexternal-linkmessage-square4fedilinkarrow-up18arrow-down14file-text
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkThe polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who’s right?www.startribune.comm_f@midwest.socialM to Minneapolis - St. Paul Metro@midwest.socialEnglish · 8 days agomessage-square4fedilinkfile-text
minus-squareTropicalDingdong@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up1·8 days agoThe markets have pretty tightly correlated with polling based models.
minus-squarem_f@midwest.socialOPMlinkfedilinkarrow-up2·8 days agoThey have been historically. I think they may not going forward though. Mostly because now that it’s “a thing” you’re going to have a lot of people trying to screw around with it that don’t mind losing money, which makes betting markets irrational
The markets have pretty tightly correlated with polling based models.
They have been historically. I think they may not going forward though. Mostly because now that it’s “a thing” you’re going to have a lot of people trying to screw around with it that don’t mind losing money, which makes betting markets irrational